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The USD is moving up and down as Trump addresses the Davos World Economic Forum. Trump spoke of bringing the price of oil down. He spoke about interest rates coming down. That seemed to help to weaken the dollar. IN the US debt market, the yield curve steepened with the 2 year lower by -1.2 bps...
The NZD/USD stalled its rise yesterday at the 38.2% retracement level (0.5688) of the decline from the November 29 high. This level also aligns with a key swing area between 0.56837 and 0.56917. Sellers capitalized on this resistance, pushing the price lower into the close.
Today, the pair has...
The USDCHF moved higher in the European/early US session and in the process tested the falling 100 hour MA (blue line currently at 0.90869). That was the 2nd test of the MA this week. On Tuesday, the price also moved to that moving average, and found willing sellers.
The hold twice increases...
IN
Adam posts "Why the Canadian dollar will continue to ignore the economic data" and he brings up some key points.
In my video above, I complement the post, with a technical look at the USDCAD.
Yesterday, the price fell to test the low of the Red Box (and lower swing area) between 1.42899...
TradeCompass for Gold Futures – January 23, 2025
Current Price: $2,758
TradeCompass helps you navigate the gold futures market with clear entry and exit points. Here's today's analysis to maximize your trading opportunities.
Bullish Scenario
Entry Above: $2,761 (Price needs to be above...
TradeCompass for Nasdaq Futures – January 23, 2025
Current Price at the Time of the NQ analysis: 21,894The TradeCompass guides our bullish and bearish thresholds and outlines profit-taking targets to help you navigate the Nasdaq Futures market effectively. Here's the breakdown:
Bullish...
The video above outlines the technicals in play for the 3 major currency pairs, the EURUSD, USDJPY and GPUSD. Generally speaking the price action in each is limited (room to roam?). What are the key levels in each? A quick summary:
The EURUSD yesterday stalled the recent rally in a swing area...
Fundamental Overview
The Nasdaq has been keeping the bid since last week as the softer than expected US inflation data gave the market a boost.
We haven’t got any key economic report since then and no comment from Fed speakers given that they are in the blackout period.
The main driver of the...
Fundamental Overview
The S&P 500 has been keeping the bid since last week as the softer than expected US inflation data gave the market a boost.
We haven’t got any key economic report since then and no comment from Fed speakers given that they are in the blackout period.
The main driver of...
Fundamental Overview
The Russell 2000 has been keeping the bid since last week as the softer than expected US inflation data gave the market a boost.
We haven’t got any key economic report since then and no comment from Fed speakers given that they are in the blackout period.
The main driver...
TradeCompass for Japanese Yen Futures (6J - March 2025 Contract) | January 23, 2025
Japanese Yen Futures Price Prediction and Analysis
At the time of this analysis, Japanese Yen Futures (6J, March 2025 contract) is trading at 0.0064270, apx at today’s VWAP and just below yesterday’s Point of...
Fundamental Overview
The USD has been marginally weaker against the major currencies recently due to lower than expected US inflation figures last week that sent Treasury yields lower and made the market to price in higher chances of a second rate cut by the end of the year.
We’ve also got...
Trade Smarter with TradeCompass: Your Market Edge Awaits
Stay Ahead with Precise, Bias-Free Market Insights
TradeCompass isn’t just another market analysis tool—it’s your strategic partner in mastering market movements. Built for traders who want to trade smarter, not harder, TradeCompass...
TradeCompass for Bitcoin Futures: January 22-23, 2025 – Bitcoin Price Prediction and Analysis
This TradeCompass provides a comprehensive roadmap for Bitcoin Futures trading, covering both bullish and bearish setups for January 22 and January 23, 2025. Designed for traders seeking disciplined...
The steep up trend line for the USD appears to have been broken. The caveat, for me, is the approach to that horizontal one:
I am sure readers of ForexLive can do better than me, let me know in the comments!
FWIW I am suspecting that while the steep uptrend is over, it'll faf around for a...
The price of crude oil has settled at $75.44. That is down -$0.39 or -0.51% on the day. The price is now down -6.60% from the high on January 15 at $80.73. The low price today reached $75.31. The high was at $76.42.
Looking at the daily chart below, the price is approaching the 200 day MA at...
In the video above, I take a look at Oracle the day after running higher on fundamental news of a joint venture took the price above the 100 day MA and the 200 hour MA. Both breaks to the upside were bullish technically. Those levels also helped to define risk for traders looking for more...
The USDCAD stretched higher and in doing so, reached the 100/200 hour MA target at 1.4385 to 1.43918 (see earlier video HERE). Sellers leaned at the risk-defining level on the first test, and the price has backed off.
If the buyers are to take more control, getting and staying above those MAs...
The S&P index moved to a high today of 6092.82. That move took the price of the index above the highest closing level at 6090.27. The all-time high price was not breached at 6099.98.
Technically speaking the price has gapped on the opening for the 3rd consecutive day.
On Friday, the price...
TradeCompass: DAX Futures Analysis and Price Prediction
Current Price OverviewDAX futures are trading at 21,377, positioned just above critical levels that dictate today’s price action:
Point of Control (POC): The day's primary volume concentration.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)...
The NZDUSD has not been without it's volatility since the US inauguration on Monday. However, the highs reached on Monday, and Tuesday and again today, stalled near the earlier January highs and the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the end of November high. That "ceiling" has gotten...
The AUDUSD has exhibited heightened volatility during the US election period. Despite the fluctuations, buyers have consistently stepped in near the rising 100-hour moving average, maintaining their presence in the market.
On the flip side, recent highs from Monday and Tuesday encountered...
The USDCAD has experienced significant volatility during the election period. Yesterday, the pair reached a new high of 1.4514, the highest level since 2020, while the previous day saw a new low near 1.42899, the lowest since mid-December. These moves briefly broke out of the "Red Box" range...
In the kickstart video above, I take a technical look at the 3 major currency pairs - the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD.
The EURUSD is trading higher on the day, but respecting a key technical target on the topside between 1.0448 and 1.0461.That is tough resistance on the topside that needs to be...
Fundamental Overview
The USD has been marginally weaker recently due to lower than expected US inflation figures last week that sent Treasury yields lower and made the market to price in higher chances of a second rate cut by the end of the year.
We’ve also got lots of whipsaws in the last...
Fundamental Overview
The USD has been marginally weaker recently due to lower than expected US inflation figures last week that sent Treasury yields lower and made the market to price in higher chances of a second rate cut by the end of the year.
We’ve also got lots of whipsaws in the last...
Fundamental Overview
The USD has been marginally weaker recently due to lower than expected US inflation figures last week that sent Treasury yields lower and made the market to price in higher chances of a second rate cut by the end of the year.
We’ve also got lots of whipsaws in the last...
Fundamental Overview
Gold continues to push into new highs as the softer US inflation data last week led to a fall in Treasury yields and weakened the US Dollar. The latest rally was triggered by Trump’s threats of tariffs on Canada and Mexico.
It seems like the uncertainty around tariffs and...
TradeCompass for Euro Futures (6E) – January 22, 2025
At the time of this analysis, Euro Futures (6E) are trading at 1.04385, placing the market near the key bearish threshold of 1.04365. Below is a detailed Euro Futures analysis and price prediction for both bullish and bearish scenarios...
TradeCompass for Dow Jones Futures – January 22, 2025
At the time of this analysis, Dow Jones Futures (YM) are trading at 44,239, which places the market below the key bearish threshold of 44,243. This supports a bearish outlook for the day. Below is a detailed Dow Jones Futures analysis and...
The President is announcing an AI infrastructure deal with Oracle part of the JV which includes OpenAI and Softbank. Shares of Orable surged on the deal and in the process made a move technically above the stocks 100 day MA at $170.48. The price also moved above the 100 and 200 hour MAs. The...
The GBP/USD moved lower during the Asian and European sessions but found support near the converged 100- and 200-hour moving averages (MAs). Sellers turned into buyers at this critical area, and the pair began to rotate back to the upside. The upward momentum has now pushed the price toward the...
Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility in recent days as the market reacts to the new Trump administration. On Monday, Bitcoin surged to its highest level ever, breaking above the December high of $108,364 and setting a new record at $109,356. However, the rally was short-lived, with...
Summary of the video outlining the tech
📈 Swing Area Support and Buyer ConfidenceThe EUR/USD bounced off a critical swing area support, marked by previous highs and lows, signaling strong buyer interest. That area comes between 1.0332 to 1.0343.
📊 50% Retracement Area in FocusThe pair...
The AUD/USD, like many other currency pairs over the past 24 hours, has experienced significant volatility in response to the transition of power in the U.S. under Trump. Yesterday, the pair dipped to test the 100-hour moving average (MA), briefly breaking below it before quickly rebounding. A...
The USD is trending lower in the early U.S. session, and the USD/CHF is no exception. Technical factors are reinforcing this move, with sellers stepping in at the key 100-hour moving average (MA), located at 0.9112. The pair tested this level multiple times on the hourly chart but failed to...
The USD/CAD is heavily influenced by headline news stemming from the new Trump presidency. Yesterday, the pair initially moved lower, tracking the USD's response to the inauguration address. However, the market reacted sharply as comments and executive orders (EOs) began to surface, particularly...
DAX Futures Analysis: Key Levels and Price Prediction
DAX Futures OverviewThe DAX futures market is trading at 21,091, slightly down by 0.15% compared to yesterday’s close. The market sentiment appears neutral to indecisive, as reflected in the AI sentiment score of +1, indicating a lack of...
In the kickstart video above, I take a technical look at the 3 major currency pairs - the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD.
On the earnings calendar today
3M Co (MMM) Q4 2024:
EPS: $1.68 (STRONGER; exp. $1.66)
Revenue: $5.8B (MET; exp. $5.78B)
Charles Schwab (SCHW)
EPS $1.01 (STRONGER; exp...
TradeCompass for Russell 2000 Futures (RTY) – January 21, 2025
Current Overview:Russell 2000 Futures (RTY) are trading at 2298, slightly below the psychological 2300 round number, an area that often attracts price fluctuations. With a tight range defined by bullish momentum above 2307 and...
Fundamental Overview
The USD has been marginally weaker recently due to lower than expected US inflation figures last week that sent Treasury yields lower and made the market to price in higher chances of a second rate cut by the end of the year.
Yesterday, the greenback weakened across the...
British Pound Futures Price Prediction by AI: Key Levels and Strategies for Today
The British Pound Futures (6B) have displayed intriguing price action in today's 30-minute sessions, as ticker 6B is now at 1.2245 with buyers and sellers battling for control at the 1.2241 Value Area Low (VAL)...
Fundamental Overview
The USD has been marginally weaker recently due to lower than expected US inflation figures last week that sent Treasury yields lower and made the market to price in higher chances of a second rate cut by the end of the year.
Yesterday, the greenback weakened across the...
Fundamental Overview
The USD has been marginally weaker recently due to lower than expected US inflation figures last week that sent Treasury yields lower and made the market to price in higher chances of a second rate cut by the end of the year.
Yesterday, the greenback weakened across the...
Fundamental Overview
The USD has been marginally weaker recently due to lower than expected US inflation figures last week that sent Treasury yields lower and made the market to price in higher chances of a second rate cut by the end of the year.
Yesterday, the greenback weakened across the...
TradeCompass for Euro FX Futures (Ticker: 6E) – January 21, 2025
Current Overview:Euro FX Futures (6E) are trading at 1.0406, slightly below today’s VWAP (1.0412). This places the market in bearish territory based on the TradeCompass. Traders should monitor the outlined key levels for potential...
TradeCompass for Gold Futures Analysis Today – January 21, 2025
Current Overview:Gold Futures are currently trading at 2,740, maintaining a tight range. Traders should closely monitor the key breakout levels: 2,745 for bullish opportunities and 2,735 for bearish setups. These levels align with...
TradeCompass for Nasdaq Futures – January 21, 2025
Current Overview:The Nasdaq Futures (NQ) is trading at 21,623, hovering just above yesterday's close. With a small movement so far (+0.14%), the market lacks directional bias at this time.
Key Levels to Watch for Nasdaq Futures Today:
Bullish...