RSS Fed's Goolsbee: Jobs report makes me more comfortable that the employment market stable

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 RSS Fed's Goolsbee: Jobs report makes me more comfortable that the employment market stable

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  • There are still a couple of question marks about over-indexing on individual jobs months
  • There was a very big jobs growth in private sector retail hiring, is that a sign of a stronger consumer or a one-off?
  • I don't see the jobs market as a source of inflation
  • Inflation rate in the past six months has been 1.9% annualized
  • The rise in long rates is from higher than expected growth and expected slower pace of fed cuts
  • In 12-18 months, rates will be a fair bit lower if current expectations are met
  • The current high annual inflation rates largely reflect the uptick of early last year, wrong to say there has not been recent progress
  • So far do not see evidence of overheating in recent months
  • It's very important to watch productivity numbers

Goolsbee is a dove and he certainly didn't shift in this interview.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
 
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