RSS Fed’s Hawkish Stance and AUD/USD Slips

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 RSS Fed’s Hawkish Stance and AUD/USD Slips

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KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Fed’s Hawkish Stance Sinks EUR/USD Below 1.0400.
  • GBP/USD Nears 1.2600 Amid BoE Rate Decision Buzz.
  • AUD/USD Slips as US Dollar Gains Strength.
  • USD/CAD Retreats After Hitting Two-Year High.

INTRODUCTION


Major currency pairs remain under pressure as the US Dollar strengthens following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut. Traders now await key economic data, including US GDP and inflation figures, alongside central bank decisions in the UK, Eurozone, and Australia, which continue to shape market sentiment. This article delves into the market movements of EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, and USD/CAD, providing a detailed technical overview and trade suggestions to help investors navigate the evolving forex landscape.

EUR/USD Analysis

Market Overview


The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure, trading below the 1.0400 level, weighed down by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance on rate cuts. During Thursday’s Asian session, the pair dipped to around 1.0370 as the US Dollar strengthened.

Key Drivers

  • The Federal Reserve implemented a 25 basis point rate cut during its December meeting, reducing the benchmark lending rate to 4.25%-4.50%, the lowest in two years.
  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a cautious approach to further rate reductions due to persistent inflation above the 2% target.
  • In the Eurozone, expectations of aggressive ECB rate cuts through June 2025 continue to weigh on the Euro.

Technical Overview






  • Moving Averages: Negative crossovers for MA 10, MA 20, and MA 50 indicate a bearish trend.
  • Indicators: RSI at 36.45 (sell zone); Stochastic Oscillator at 13.81 (neutral).
  • Resistance Levels: R1: 1.0846, R2: 1.0988.
  • Support Levels: S1: 1.0384, S2: 1.0242.

Trade Suggestion​


Limit Sell: 1.0440
Take Profit: 1.0332
Stop Loss: 1.0516

GBP/USD Analysis

Market Overview​


The GBP/USD pair rebounds near 1.2590 during Thursday’s Asian session, recovering from a 1% decline following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut. Anticipation of the Bank of England’s steady interest rate decision further influences market sentiment.

Key Drivers​

  • UK CPI rose by 2.6% YoY in November, while Core CPI increased to 3.5%.
  • The Bank of England is expected to maintain its current interest rates, focusing on curbing high domestic inflation.
  • The pair remains under pressure as traders await critical US economic data, including GDP figures and jobless claims.

Technical Overview


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