RSS Forecast for EUR/USD on December 11, 2024

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 RSS Forecast for EUR/USD on December 11, 2024

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Investors' gradual shift away from risk continues. Yesterday, the U.S. stock index S&P 500 fell by 0.30%, and the euro followed suit, losing 24 pips, albeit within the context of anticipation for the European Central Bank meeting.

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The November U.S. CPI report will be released today. The Core CPI is expected to remain unchanged at 3.3% YoY, while the headline CPI may increase from 2.6% YoY to 2.7% YoY.

Considering the slightly hawkish rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials over the past 1.5 weeks, the most likely scenario for the euro leading up to the ECB meeting is a decline toward the lower boundary of the 1.0461–1.0598 range.

Furthermore, the widely discussed 25-basis-point rate cut by the ECB has already been fully priced in, as evidenced by the euro's 4.5-figure decline since November 16. The market is now entirely focused on the Fed's actions and crisis-driven correlations.

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On the 4-hour chart, yesterday's decline was halted by the MACD Line and the balance line. The Marlin oscillator remains on a downward trajectory. Today, the price may attempt to break below these indicator supports and consolidate beneath them.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
 
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