INTRODUCTION
Major currency pairs remain under pressure as the US Dollar strengthens following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut. Traders now await key economic data, including US GDP and inflation figures, alongside central bank decisions in the UK, Eurozone, and Australia, which continue to shape market sentiment. This article delves into the market movements of EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, and USD/CAD, providing a detailed technical overview and trade suggestions to help investors navigate the evolving forex landscape.
EUR/USD Analysis
Market Overview
The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure, trading below the 1.0400 level, weighed down by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance on rate cuts. During Thursday’s Asian session, the pair dipped to around 1.0370 as the US Dollar strengthened.
Key Drivers
- The Federal Reserve implemented a 25 basis point rate cut during its December meeting, reducing the benchmark lending rate to 4.25%-4.50%, the lowest in two years.
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a cautious approach to further rate reductions due to persistent inflation above the 2% target.
- In the Eurozone, expectations of aggressive ECB rate cuts through June 2025 continue to weigh on the Euro.
Technical Overview
- Moving Averages: Negative crossovers for MA 10, MA 20, and MA 50 indicate a bearish trend.
- Indicators: RSI at 36.45 (sell zone); Stochastic Oscillator at 13.81 (neutral).
- Resistance Levels: R1: 1.0846, R2: 1.0988.
- Support Levels: S1: 1.0384, S2: 1.0242.
Trade Suggestion
Limit Sell: 1.0440
Take Profit: 1.0332
Stop Loss: 1.0516
GBP/USD Analysis
Market Overview
The GBP/USD pair rebounds near 1.2590 during Thursday’s Asian session, recovering from a 1% decline following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut. Anticipation of the Bank of England’s steady interest rate decision further influences market sentiment.
Key Drivers
- UK CPI rose by 2.6% YoY in November, while Core CPI increased to 3.5%.
- The Bank of England is expected to maintain its current interest rates, focusing on curbing high domestic inflation.
- The pair remains under pressure as traders await critical US economic data, including GDP figures and jobless claims.
Technical Overview
- Moving Averages: Negative crossovers for MA 10, MA 20, and MA 50 reinforce bearish sentiment.
- Indicators: RSI at 41.64 (neutral); Stochastic Oscillator at 23.65 (neutral).
- Resistance Levels: R1: 1.2970, R2: 1.3102.
- Support Levels: S1: 1.2542, S2: 1.2410.
Trade Suggestion
Limit Sell: 1.2624
Take Profit: 1.2485
Stop Loss: 1.2728
AUD/USD Analysis
Market Overview
The Australian Dollar stabilizes after trimming intraday losses during Thursday’s session. The AUD/USD pair remains under pressure due to the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and rising Consumer Inflation Expectations in Australia.
Key Drivers
- The Fed’s 25 basis point rate cut bolstered the US Dollar.
- Australia’s Consumer Inflation Expectations rose to 4.2% in December, the highest since September.
- Market speculation on potential RBA rate cuts adds downward pressure on the AUD.
Technical Overview
- Moving Averages: Negative crossovers for MA 10, MA 20, and MA 50 confirm bearish momentum.
- Indicators: RSI at 27.59 (sell zone); Stochastic Oscillator at 4.73 (neutral).
- Resistance Levels: R1: 0.6641, R2: 0.6701.
- Support Levels: S1: 0.6447, S2: 0.6387.
Trade Suggestion
Limit Sell: 0.6293
Take Profit: 0.6199
Stop Loss: 0.6366
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